It's not clear what impact the criminal conviction of Donald Trump will have on his presidential campaign against President Joe Biden.
Recent polls suggest that the guilty verdict could affect how key voting blocs view Trump, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.that only a small fraction of non-Democratic voters would be less likely to vote for Trump if he is found guilty in the hush money trial. Among Republicans, 25% said they will be more inclined to vote for Trump if he is found guilty in New York, versus 10% who say they will be less likely to do so., in which just 6% of Trump voters said they would be less likely to vote for him if convicted, while nearly a quarter said they would be more likely to vote for him.
Most people on either side of the political spectrum have already made up their minds about Trump, the professor explained. But in a consistently tight race with two well-known candidates targeting a small-but-important slice of swing voters, any shift in opinion resulting from the guilty verdict could have an outsize effect.
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