How might Trump's campaign be affected if he's acquitted in his hush money trial?

His legal fate is now in the hands of a jury in New York, where he's charged with falsifying business records to disguise alleged a hush money payment to an adult film actress. The payment, prosecutors say, was designed to hide an alleged sexual encounter from voters shortly before the 2016finding that a fifth of Trump's supporters said they would either reconsider their support or withdraw it if that happened.

Testimony at the New York trial was sometimes dominated by sordid details of Trump's purported encounter with actress Stormy Daniels -- which he denies -- to revelations that Michael Cohen, the one-time Trump fixer turned harsh critic, stole from Trump's company. Mike Madrid, an anti-Trump GOP strategist and Lincoln Project co-founder, noted that the former president has a "fundamental problem with the base," noting recent primaries in which former South Carolina GOP Gov."A lot of that's gonna come back, it's not like he's gonna lose 20%," Madrid said. "But if he loses 10%, he's gonna lose in big fashion.

Strategists predicted any Trump crowing over a potential acquittal could be supercharged by the New York setting for the trial -- a city that gave him less than a quarter of the vote in 2020. The then-president in 2019 claimed "complete and total exoneration" after special counsel Robert Mueller declined to bring charges against him in his investigation into allegations of collusion with Russia in the 2016 race -- a mischaracterization of the details of Mueller's report but a decision that allowed Trump to declare victory nonetheless.

Still, Trump has lacked message discipline in this and past campaigns, possibly hindering his ability to seize on beating the New York case. And Democrats cast doubt on the idea that an acquittal would fundamentally change the perceptions of a man who spent decades in the public eye and four years in the White House.

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