But a year is hardly enough to gauge the impacts of such a sweeping law, saysat the Electric Power Research Institute, a non-profit organisation in California. To assess its long-term effects on emissions, he convened 17 groups, including
Energy Innovation, to compare nine different economic and energy models. “There’s a flurry of modelling released, and it’s challenging to understand where the models agree, where they disagree, and why,” he says. The groups found that their models’ latest projections range from a 43 to 48 per cent emissions reduction compared with 2005 levels by 2035, a significant jump from the 25 to 31 per cent reduction the models say would happen without the law. All of the models show decarbonising the electricity sector is responsible for the greatest share of emissions reductions due to the law.Get a dose of climate optimism delivered straight to your inbox every month.
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