Four House seats Democrats could lose following state Supreme Court gerrymandering decision

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North Carolina Republicans' 2024 path has been cleared following the state Supreme Court's recent decision to overturn a past ruling that disallowed partisan gerrymandering, paving the way for the Republicans to create a map that more heavily favors their party.

On April 28, the Republican-majority court effectively reversed a 2022 decision from the then-Democratic-controlled court that declared the Republican-drawn political districts as partisan gerrymanders, declaring states have no authority to counter districts drawn by the legislature.Moore v. Harper, formerly known as Harper v. Hall, was brought by a group of North Carolina lawmakers who wanted to challenge the state’s legislative map that was drawn to benefit Republican candidates.

Republicans are now most likely to pursue similar restricting efforts as they could draw up a new map at any time.The 6th district, located in the northern part of North Carolina, is currently occupied by Kathy Manning, the policy co-chair of the Democratic women's caucus and member of the pro-abortion rights caucus. Manning defeated Republican candidate Christian Castelli by 9%.

The GOP may now again seek to create new Republican seats in the southwest while eliminating Manning, if Castelli decides to run again. Former GOP Rep. Mark Walker, who served North Carolina’s 6th district from 2015 to 2020, who decided to not seek reelection after the district turned blue, is another possible candidate.In 2022, Democrat Wiley Nickel defeated Republican Bo Hines, in a 51.6% to 48.4% majority, effectively flipping the seat to blue for the first time since 2010.

Hines has filed paperwork to run again, potentially setting up for a rematch against Nickel, according to The Hill.The southwestern district, which was one of seven new House districts created by the 2020 census, is currently occupied by Democratic state Sen. Jeff Jackson. Jackson beat his Republican opponent Pat Harrigan in 2022.

 

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