Law: Rangers strike gold with Jacob deGrom. Is it the fool's variety?

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'The Rangers’ five-year, $185 million deal with Jacob deGrom is brilliant. It’s also incredibly foolhardy. Or maybe something in between,' writes keithlaw. So when all is said and done, how will people view Texas' splashy move for the generational ace?

If they get a full, healthy year out of deGrom, he’ll probably produce so much value that he’ll be underpaid, even at $37 million for the season. Repeating what I wrote in mylast month, he was worth over 7 fWAR in 2021-22, throwing 156.1 innings with 248 strikeouts, 19 walks and a 1.90 ERA/1.60 FIP over the two seasons. That’s basically one season of a starter’s workload, or two seasons if you’re the.

I might put the over/under at starts he’ll make over the next five seasons, which happen to cover his ages 35-39 years, at 60, given those ages and his history of injuries, which includes a stress reaction in his shoulder in 2022, and an elbow injury that may or may not have included a partial UCL tear and that ended his 2021 season in early July.

 

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keithlaw He didn’t sign with the Pyrites.

keithlaw I can’t think of many good players the Rangers have drafted and developed recently. Buying stars is great if you’re adding them to a homegrown core, but the Rangers don’t seem to have developed their own guys well.

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